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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #76 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews · #60
V⁻ -20VORP 0V⁺ 29
Dylan Crews

Dylan Crews

OF·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
279
H
55
HR
9
AVG
.218
xwOBA
.322
PPG
1.86
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj78338.236.299.383.147.30522.7%7.1%15.7%9121531.97—
202666279.218
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

279 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
40
.322
xBA
25
.236
.294
.365
.147
.322
23.7%
7.2%
16.5%
9
7
123
1.86
—
202586322.208.280.352.144.30723.6%7.5%16.1%10171431.66—
202435133.217.288.350.133.32819.5%8.3%11.2%312611.74—
xSLG
55
.423
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
76
90.7
Median EV
0
—
90th % EV
0
—
Barrel %
61
10.2
Hard-Hit %
63
44.1
Sweet-Spot %
37
34.9
Bat Speed
Avg
65
71.7
Median
0
—
90th %
0
—
Plate Discipline
Chase %
39
31.7
Whiff %
14
28.3
K %
30
23.7
BB %
22
7.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
123
≈ 99th pctl
Chase cost
-0.2r
1 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
+0.0r
0 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.7%
12 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.59
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
12111111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 12