Dustin May

Dustin May

SP · STL
MLBAM 669160
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20268617.4%4.7%0.327255.00
202558421.1%9.6%0.3511877.19
202318718.2%8.6%0.28712412.40
202212722.8%11.0%0.303498.17
20219337.6%5.4%0.26911514.38
202022419.6%7.1%0.3141578.26
201914122.7%3.5%0.304874.83

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Arsenal
FB Velocity
84
96.0
FB Spin
69
2360
Extension
73
6.69
Results
xwOBA
49
0.327
Barrel %
68
6.3
Hard-Hit %
25
46.0
K %
23
17.4
BB %
91
4.7
Chase %
22
26.4
Whiff %
1
12.5
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
116
95th pctl
Stuff+
98
if they swing
Command+
109
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
103
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
10.8%
33 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.037
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.006 better than avg · 81 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.003
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.032 better than avg · 13 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 305 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROPARMANGLE31°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFSTSIFCCUCH
Usage30%21%18%15%8%8%
MPH96.985.696.593.582.790.2
RHP Avg95.083.394.389.880.286.9

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFSTSIFCCUCH-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSTSIFCCUCH-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFSTSIFCCUCH

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTFF · 21FC · 25ST · 27CH · 26CU · 26SI · 27arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.