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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #5 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin · #5
V⁻ 21VORP -142V⁺ 95
Drake Baldwin

Drake Baldwin

C·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
226
H
59
HR
14
AVG
.298
xwOBA
.415
PPG
3.32
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj75308.268.344.459.191.35518.7%9.7%9.0%1311842.45—
202650226.298
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

226 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
96
.415
xBA
95
.297
.382
.540
.242
.415
21.7%
10.6%
11.1%
14
1
166
3.32
—
2025126446.274.341.469.195.35415.2%8.5%6.7%1903012.39—
xSLG
97
.581
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
88
92.5
Median EV
52
92.7
90th % EV
61
106.2
Barrel %
96
18.7
Hard-Hit %
90
52.7
Sweet-Spot %
93
42.7
Bat Speed
Avg
79
73.0
Median
81
74.6
90th %
82
79.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
18
34.9
Whiff %
45
22.2
K %
42
21.7
BB %
63
10.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 56th pctl
Chase cost
-7.0r
75 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.8r
57 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.9%
397 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.47
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+38%83+0%632+38%8+67%18+0%15+28%18+8%1343+40%10+8%25-29%35-21%28-19%21+40%104+44%9+11%19-28%18-22%18-21%14+33%9135+0%12-22%9251141CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 397