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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #32 of 68

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery · #32
V⁻ -60VORP -18V⁺ 10
Colson Montgomery

Colson Montgomery

3B / SS·CHW
Compare
Compare
PA
470
H
90
HR
26
AVG
.215
xwOBA
.311
PPG
1.84
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj94404.223.304.424.200.32329.2%8.7%20.4%1821801.91—
2026111470.215
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
29
.311
xBA
5
.210
xSLG
.297
.444
.229
.311
32.8%
8.3%
24.5%
26
1
204
1.84
—
202571284.239.312.529.290.34429.2%8.8%20.4%2101772.49—
50
.415
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
37
88.9
Median EV
6
86.8
90th % EV
59
106.0
Barrel %
79
12.4
Hard-Hit %
45
41.4
Sweet-Spot %
29
33.8
Bat Speed
Avg
91
74.5
Median
91
75.7
90th %
92
80.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
33
32.4
Whiff %
0
34.0
K %
1
32.8
BB %
38
8.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 22th pctl
Chase cost
-6.8r
63 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.4r
44 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.2%
357 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.86
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2525+0%612+14%7+63%8+7%144+42%12534+20%10-35%23-18%17-6%16+70%105+50%8-7%15-40%20-29%31-14%21+60%1035+25%8+9%11+33%94+33%61332212CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 357