Colin Rea
P · CHC
MLBAM 607067
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 69 | 21.7% | 4.3% | 0.304 | 61 | 12.20 |
| 2025 | 664 | 19.1% | 6.6% | 0.329 | 291 | 8.08 |
| 2024 | 715 | 18.9% | 6.0% | 0.343 | 326 | 9.88 |
| 2023 | 517 | 21.3% | 7.4% | 0.325 | 210 | 8.08 |
| 2021 | 24 | 20.8% | 0.0% | 0.355 | 6 | 6.00 |
| 2020 | 62 | 16.1% | 3.2% | 0.335 | 19 | 2.11 |
| 2016 | 454 | 17.6% | 9.7% | 0.343 | 136 | 6.18 |
| 2015 | 133 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 0.346 | 51 | 8.50 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
44
93.4
FB Spin
16
2143
Extension
82
6.80
Results
xwOBA
68
0.304
Barrel %
71
6.0
Hard-Hit %
49
40.0
K %
47
21.7
BB %
94
4.3
Chase %
95
37.6
Whiff %
22
19.2
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
104
≈ 67th pctl
Stuff+
103
if they swing
Command+
110
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
98
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
10.8%
37 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.039
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.003 better than avg · 115 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.034
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.005 worse than avg · 16 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 342 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | FS | SL | SI | ST | CU | FC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 45% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| MPH | 94.1 | 87.8 | 86.2 | 92.9 | 82.7 | 79.5 | 86.8 |
| RHP Avg | 95.0 | 86.7 | 86.7 | 94.3 | 83.3 | 80.2 | 89.8 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFFSSLSISTCUFC
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.