Chris Sale

Chris Sale

SP · ATL
MLBAM 519242
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20268924.7%6.7%0.3138116.20
202551432.1%6.2%0.26535916.32
202470332.0%5.5%0.26457519.17
202342629.3%6.8%0.29622110.05
20222520.0%4.0%0.31573.50
202118328.4%6.6%0.2931149.50
201961435.5%6.0%0.28435913.81
201862038.2%5.5%0.23358917.32
201785336.1%5.0%0.25369818.86
201690925.6%5.0%0.29460017.14

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Arsenal
FB Velocity
74
95.0
FB Spin
44
2261
Extension
53
6.54
Results
xwOBA
58
0.313
Barrel %
34
10.3
Hard-Hit %
81
32.8
K %
66
24.7
BB %
73
6.7
Chase %
77
32.5
Whiff %
51
23.2
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
115
93th pctl
Stuff+
100
if they swing
Command+
116
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
102
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
9.4%
40 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.036
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.006 better than avg · 141 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.025
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.004 better than avg · 13 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 427 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROPARMANGLE11°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFSLCHSI
Usage42%41%10%7%
MPH95.178.186.594.2
LHP Avg93.284.784.693.0

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFSLCHSI-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSLCHSI-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFSLCHSI

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTFF · 19SI · 23SL · 31CH · 30arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. LHP.