Chris Paddack
P · MIA
MLBAM 663978
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 87 | 20.7% | 5.7% | 0.315 | 25 | 5.00 |
| 2025 | 671 | 16.7% | 5.5% | 0.344 | 185 | 5.29 |
| 2024 | 384 | 20.6% | 5.5% | 0.343 | 137 | 7.61 |
| 2023 | 22 | 36.4% | 4.5% | 0.290 | 31 | 7.75 |
| 2022 | 93 | 21.5% | 2.2% | 0.289 | 39 | 4.88 |
| 2021 | 459 | 21.6% | 4.8% | 0.331 | 142 | 5.92 |
| 2020 | 248 | 23.4% | 4.8% | 0.345 | 79 | 6.08 |
| 2019 | 568 | 26.9% | 5.5% | 0.280 | 358 | 13.26 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
15
91.0
FB Spin
9
2104
Extension
82
6.80
Results
xwOBA
57
0.315
Barrel %
54
7.9
Hard-Hit %
25
46.0
K %
40
20.7
BB %
86
5.7
Chase %
89
34.5
Whiff %
56
23.7
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
102
≈ 57th pctl
Stuff+
111
if they swing
Command+
100
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
108
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.1%
33 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.042
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.000 better than avg · 133 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.022
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.008 better than avg · 28 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 406 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | CH | FC | ST | CU | SI | SL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 29% | 23% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 0% |
| MPH | 93.0 | 85.0 | 86.1 | 79.7 | 77.0 | 92.8 | 82.5 |
| RHP Avg | 95.0 | 86.9 | 89.8 | 83.3 | 80.2 | 94.3 | 86.7 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFCHFCSTCUSISL
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.