Chad Patrick
SP · MIL
MLBAM 694477
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 76 | 11.8% | 9.2% | 0.280 | 34 | 6.80 |
| 2025 | 505 | 25.1% | 7.9% | 0.308 | 242 | 7.12 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
23
91.6
FB Spin
50
2291
Extension
13
6.03
Results
xwOBA
77
0.280
Barrel %
63
6.8
Hard-Hit %
45
40.7
K %
2
11.8
BB %
42
9.2
Chase %
30
27.2
Whiff %
49
23.0
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
104
≈ 65th pctl
Stuff+
105
if they swing
Command+
101
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
105
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.0%
30 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.046
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.004 worse than avg · 103 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.008
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.022 better than avg · 29 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 377 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FC | FF | SI | SV | CH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 37% | 25% | 22% | 14% | 1% |
| MPH | 88.7 | 94.0 | 93.8 | 84.8 | 88.3 |
| RHP Avg | 89.8 | 95.0 | 94.3 | — | 86.9 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FCFFSISVCH
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.