Carmen Mlodzinski

Carmen Mlodzinski

P · PIT
MLBAM 669387
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20268723.0%9.2%0.2825112.75
202542021.2%6.4%0.3131705.00
202421021.9%9.0%0.2901102.75
202315322.2%11.8%0.3121032.94

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Arsenal
FB Velocity
66
94.5
FB Spin
4
2049
Extension
42
6.44
Results
xwOBA
73
0.282
Barrel %
95
1.7
Hard-Hit %
10
51.7
K %
55
23.0
BB %
42
9.2
Chase %
40
28.8
Whiff %
18
18.3
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
101
55th pctl
Stuff+
104
if they swing
Command+
100
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
96
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.5%
28 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.047
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.005 worse than avg · 94 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.042
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.013 worse than avg · 17 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 330 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROPARMANGLE34°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FSFFSICUSTSL
Usage29%29%18%15%7%3%
MPH85.294.794.383.983.191.2
RHP Avg86.795.094.380.283.386.7

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FSFFSICUSTSL-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FSFFSICUSTSL-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FSFFSICUSTSL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTFF · 15SI · 23ST · 30FS · 28CU · 30SL · 35arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.