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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Carlos Narváez

Carlos Narváez

C·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
446
H
97
HR
15
AVG
.241
xwOBA
.296
PPG
1.65
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202639134.207.278.298.091.27630.6%7.5%23.1%21260.67—
2025121446.241
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

446 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.296
xBA
8
.227
.308
.419
.178
.296
24.9%
8.5%
16.4%
15
1
200
1.65
—
2024915.231.333.231.000.30740.0%13.3%26.7%0180.89—
xSLG
18
.390
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
61
90.7
Median EV
65
93.8
90th % EV
55
105.9
Barrel %
44
9.1
Hard-Hit %
47
44.6
Sweet-Spot %
1
30.4
Bat Speed
Avg
51
70.5
Median
44
71.8
90th %
37
76.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
36
29.6
Whiff %
30
25.4
K %
26
24.9
BB %
47
8.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 49th pctl
Chase cost
-31.3r
315 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.5r
266 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.6%
1,849 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.53
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
214+14%74522+7%14+31%16+5%19+32%25+23%13+17%6+32%22+17%29-33%52-37%76-26%42+41%34+36%14+53%17+10%40-36%67-24%80-31%45+22%36+14%7+48%23+33%36+24%45+5%37+7%30+33%93+14%7+11%9+22%9+14%7243CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000