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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #45 of 67

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Carlos Narváez
Carlos Narváez · #45
V⁻ -32VORP -253V⁺ -12
Carlos Narváez

Carlos Narváez

C·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
214
H
34
HR
3
AVG
.183
xwOBA
.273
PPG
0.41
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj47187.225.304.367.142.30326.7%9.4%17.3%51701.50—
202663214.183
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

214 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
5
.273
xBA
3
.203
.262
.263
.080
.273
33.2%
7.0%
26.2%
3
1
26
0.41
—
2025121446.241.308.419.178.29624.9%8.5%16.4%1512001.65—
2024915.231.333.231.000.30740.0%13.3%26.7%0180.89—
xSLG
5
.331
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
27
87.7
Median EV
78
95.1
90th % EV
21
102.1
Barrel %
42
7.3
Hard-Hit %
24
36.6
Sweet-Spot %
81
39.0
Bat Speed
Avg
35
69.4
Median
36
70.8
90th %
36
75.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
27
33.3
Whiff %
5
31.8
K %
1
33.2
BB %
21
7.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
87
≈ 9th pctl
Chase cost
-4.5r
41 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.0r
33 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.6%
211 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.08
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11223+0%6+0%8+50%83245-36%11-12%17-6%16+50%625+57%7-40%20-18%11-45%11333+22%95+0%6532331CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 211