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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Cam Smith

Cam Smith

OF·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
495
H
104
HR
9
AVG
.235
xwOBA
.305
PPG
1.37
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202673284.223.306.363.140.33726.8%9.2%17.6%781081.48—
2025137495.235
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

495 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
12
.305
xBA
8
.227
.312
.357
.122
.305
27.7%
8.7%
19.0%
9
8
188
1.37
—
xSLG
7
.363
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
87.9
Median EV
17
90.5
90th % EV
50
105.6
Barrel %
23
6.9
Hard-Hit %
29
40.8
Sweet-Spot %
42
35.6
Bat Speed
Avg
79
72.3
Median
85
74.1
90th %
82
78.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
36
29.6
Whiff %
27
26.2
K %
7
27.7
BB %
50
8.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 29th pctl
Chase cost
-37.8r
373 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.7r
294 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.4%
2,037 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.72
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
13+20%10+13%841+57%7+54%13+13%23+8%40+63%16+36%14+0%6+50%16-7%41-31%48-29%73-6%35+71%21+20%10+31%29-2%46-33%61-29%63-7%56+53%40+18%11+35%17+42%31+21%33+33%42+21%29+23%135+13%8+29%7+0%10+0%9+14%751CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000