
Bubba Chandler
SP · PIT
MLBAM 696149
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 85 | 20.0% | 15.3% | 0.337 | 37 | 9.25 |
| 2025 | 124 | 25.0% | 3.2% | 0.298 | 88 | 12.57 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
99
98.9
FB Spin
83
2435
Extension
70
6.67
Results
xwOBA
37
0.337
Barrel %
60
7.3
Hard-Hit %
49
40.0
K %
35
20.0
BB %
6
15.3
Chase %
72
32.1
Whiff %
53
23.3
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
111
≈ 87th pctl
Stuff+
125
if they swing
Command+
90
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
129
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
5.2%
18 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.037
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.006 better than avg · 114 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.039
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.010 worse than avg · 27 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 343 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | CH | SL | ST | CU | PO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 57% | 18% | 12% | 11% | 1% | 0% |
| MPH | 98.9 | 92.4 | 90.0 | 87.7 | 87.4 | 94.9 |
| RHP Avg | 95.0 | 86.9 | 86.7 | 83.3 | 80.2 | — |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFCHSLSTCUPO
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.