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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100
Bryse Wilson

Bryse Wilson

SP / RP·PHI
Compare
Compare
BF
101
K %
17.8%
BB %
2.0%
xwOBA
.323
PTS
34
PPG
3.78
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj116.000004.804.8916.0%7.1%9.0%————87.54
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

101 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
9
90.9
FB Spin
5
2062
2026
9
0
23.3
0
0
0
0
4.24
3.74
17.8%
2.0%
15.8%
.323
.355
77.2%
36.7%
34
3.78
202521548.302006.526.2012.4%8.4%4.0%.424.33970.7%35.1%60.29
20243510107.764004.015.0118.6%7.0%11.6%.355.26880.5%37.8%1875.34
202356080.060353.043.9019.4%7.0%12.4%.308.25177.1%37.6%2143.82
20222923127.3410005.654.9815.5%6.3%9.2%.364.30964.3%44.7%1023.52
2021171778.747005.155.3614.3%6.8%7.5%.365.29874.0%37.2%653.82
20207321.720103.324.5820.5%12.3%8.2%.357.27185.3%43.8%557.86
20196420.011007.206.2517.2%10.8%6.4%.373.33962.1%34.3%81.33
2018418.010005.633.9818.2%18.2%0.0%.406.34866.7%28.6%112.75
Extension
42
6.40
Results
xwOBA
40
.323
Barrel %
99
2.5
Hard-Hit %
1
46.8
K %
19
17.8
BB %
100
2.0
Chase %
84
33.8
Whiff %
1
12.3