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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-500+50+100+150
Bryan De La Cruz

Bryan De La Cruz

OF·PHI
Compare
Compare
PA
32
H
10
HR
2
AVG
.385
xwOBA
.350
PPG
2.40
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj522.234.278.400.166.29927.0%5.6%21.4%1081.67—
20261032.385
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

32 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
70
.350
xBA
72
.272
.467
.654
.269
.350
21.9%
6.3%
15.6%
2
0
24
2.40
—
20252150.191.240.213.022.24636.0%6.0%30.0%0140.19—
2024151623.232.272.383.151.30827.3%4.7%22.6%2152221.47—
2023159627.257.306.410.153.33122.6%6.4%16.2%1952901.82—
2022104355.252.297.432.180.36125.4%5.4%20.0%1341581.52—
202157219.296.358.427.131.30624.2%8.2%16.0%51901.58—
xSLG
71
.445
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
22
87.1
Median EV
0
—
90th % EV
0
—
Barrel %
55
9.5
Hard-Hit %
28
38.1
Sweet-Spot %
69
38.1
Bat Speed
Avg
28
68.7
Median
0
—
90th %
0
—
Plate Discipline
Chase %
3
43.8
Whiff %
11
29.0
K %
42
21.9
BB %
15
6.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 25th pctl
Chase cost
-0.6r
3 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.3r
9 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.4%
33 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.82
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121141324223111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 33