Brayan Bello
SP · BOS
MLBAM 678394
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 72 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.369 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 2025 | 703 | 17.6% | 8.4% | 0.328 | 307 | 10.23 |
| 2024 | 704 | 21.7% | 9.1% | 0.332 | 300 | 9.68 |
| 2023 | 668 | 19.8% | 6.7% | 0.316 | 250 | 8.93 |
| 2022 | 268 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 0.308 | 44 | 3.14 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
22
91.5
FB Spin
20
2159
Extension
27
6.27
Results
xwOBA
13
0.369
Barrel %
42
9.3
Hard-Hit %
86
31.5
K %
4
12.5
BB %
14
12.5
Chase %
65
31.5
Whiff %
97
33.3
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
104
≈ 64th pctl
Stuff+
100
if they swing
Command+
106
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
88
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
13.2%
45 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.035
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.007 better than avg · 97 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.039
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.010 worse than avg · 18 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 340 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| SI | FC | CH | ST | CU | FF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 42% | 25% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% |
| MPH | 94.1 | 86.8 | 87.9 | 84.9 | 83.6 | 93.0 |
| RHP Avg | 94.3 | 89.8 | 86.9 | 83.3 | 80.2 | 95.0 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SIFCCHSTCUFF
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.