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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #35 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo · #35
V⁻ -53VORP 27V⁺ 7
Brandon Nimmo

Brandon Nimmo

OF·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
473
H
117
HR
13
AVG
.274
xwOBA
.373
PPG
2.09
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj93400.256.338.431.174.34220.9%9.7%11.2%1452142.30—
2026112473.274
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
86
.373
xBA
95
.292
xSLG
.342
.447
.173
.373
21.6%
8.0%
13.6%
13
6
234
2.09
—
2025159652.262.328.436.174.32221.6%7.7%13.9%25133792.38—
2024168666.223.327.397.174.33923.7%11.6%12.1%23153842.29—
2023154684.273.364.465.192.35221.3%10.8%10.5%2433772.45—
2022159673.274.369.433.159.33717.2%10.5%6.7%1634032.53—
202197387.291.400.436.145.34620.4%14.0%6.4%852152.22—
202053226.278.403.481.203.35819.0%14.6%4.4%821412.66—
201972254.221.380.407.186.33628.0%18.1%9.9%831472.04—
2018142539.261.401.478.217.35226.0%14.8%11.2%1793082.17—
201768215.260.382.418.158.35627.9%15.3%12.6%52981.44—
87
.504
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
87
92.0
Median EV
59
93.3
90th % EV
38
104.1
Barrel %
65
11.3
Hard-Hit %
91
51.4
Sweet-Spot %
90
41.0
Bat Speed
Avg
45
70.3
Median
48
71.8
90th %
74
78.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
56
28.8
Whiff %
68
18.8
K %
44
21.6
BB %
32
8.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 81th pctl
Chase cost
-5.5r
59 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.9r
55 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.8%
389 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.16
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
135314+22%9+31%13+0%7+0%10+0%83+33%6+6%16-25%32-21%28-62%21+8%121+50%8+0%14-33%24-12%32-12%16+56%95+33%6+40%15+27%11+8%13+71%7214351CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 389