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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #9 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette · #9
V⁻ -2VORP 31V⁺ 68
Bo Bichette

Bo Bichette

3B / SS·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
319
H
73
HR
8
AVG
.247
xwOBA
.332
PPG
2.16
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj102440.279.327.426.147.33416.6%6.6%10.0%1242402.35—
202674319.247
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
48
.332
xBA
83
.283
xSLG
.295
.373
.126
.332
17.6%
6.0%
11.6%
8
1
160
2.16
—
2025149630.310.357.481.171.35614.4%6.3%8.1%1844332.91—
202485336.225.278.322.097.30519.0%6.0%13.0%461281.51—
2023143603.305.339.473.168.35719.1%4.5%14.6%2063512.45—
2022172698.289.333.469.180.33422.2%5.9%16.3%24164052.35—
2021169690.298.345.484.186.35019.9%5.8%14.1%29274942.92—
202032128.301.328.512.211.35821.1%3.9%17.2%54892.78—
201949212.311.360.571.260.33423.6%6.6%17.0%1151422.90—
55
.432
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
77
90.9
Median EV
58
93.2
90th % EV
38
104.1
Barrel %
36
7.4
Hard-Hit %
72
46.1
Sweet-Spot %
44
35.4
Bat Speed
Avg
18
68.1
Median
13
68.4
90th %
31
74.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
6
40.1
Whiff %
82
15.8
K %
65
17.6
BB %
13
6.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
78
≈ 2th pctl
Chase cost
-10.9r
93 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.6r
52 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.5%
391 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.43
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
21114+17%6+14%7+30%10+75%855+0%9-20%15-18%22-20%20+69%135+46%13-17%18-40%35-26%23-12%16+78%94+50%8+38%8+23%22+21%19+43%7+17%611+38%8+14%7+13%8CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 391