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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #176 of 236

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander · #60
V⁻ -35VORP -23V⁺ -6
Blaze Alexander

Blaze Alexander

2B / 3B / SS / OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
177
H
48
HR
2
AVG
.304
xwOBA
.365
PPG
1.64
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj46200.230.304.358.128.30029.6%8.1%21.6%45691.50—
202653177.304
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

177 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
75
.365
xBA
99
.313
.360
.418
.114
.365
22.6%
6.2%
16.4%
2
7
87
1.64
—
202568266.230.324.383.153.30432.3%8.3%24.0%72951.40—
202459185.247.321.343.096.26226.5%8.1%18.4%33881.49—
xSLG
71
.461
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
55
90.0
Median EV
80
95.2
90th % EV
14
101.3
Barrel %
29
6.6
Hard-Hit %
76
47.1
Sweet-Spot %
96
44.6
Bat Speed
Avg
54
70.5
Median
57
72.5
90th %
57
77.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
52
28.7
Whiff %
33
24.6
K %
38
22.6
BB %
12
6.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 25th pctl
Chase cost
-5.0r
49 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.9r
16 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
60.4%
212 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.81
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
112224+46%132234-14%7-12%8-19%16-20%1054+100%11+27%11-5%19-8%12-17%12323+60%10+42%12+0%723121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 212