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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #218 of 239

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Blake Perkins
Blake Perkins · #60
V⁻ —VORP -8V⁺ —
Blake Perkins

Blake Perkins

OF·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
102
H
14
HR
1
AVG
.156
xwOBA
.264
PPG
0.90
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj1669.214.295.316.102.28026.0%9.9%16.1%12241.48—
202642102.156
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

102 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
1
.264
xBA
1
.194
.248
.256
.100
.264
21.6%
9.8%
11.8%
1
3
38
0.90
—
202553171.226.298.348.122.28027.5%8.8%18.7%37761.43—
2024125434.240.320.332.092.28124.9%9.7%15.2%6262061.65—
202354168.217.325.350.133.28027.4%13.7%13.7%45821.52—
xSLG
1
.292
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
4
83.8
Median EV
13
88.5
90th % EV
2
98.1
Barrel %
17
4.4
Hard-Hit %
19
33.8
Sweet-Spot %
0
26.5
Bat Speed
Avg
27
68.6
Median
18
69.1
90th %
13
73.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
67
27.1
Whiff %
65
19.5
K %
44
21.6
BB %
57
9.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
104
≈ 66th pctl
Chase cost
-2.2r
28 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.2r
23 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.2%
143 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.36
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
212212525133-62%8-50%6321+43%7-25%8-42%12-15%13-29%732+13%834+17%633321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 143