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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Ben Rice

Ben Rice

C / 1B·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
531
H
119
HR
26
AVG
.254
xwOBA
.396
PPG
2.35
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026113485.256.350.543.287.37724.9%12.0%12.9%3223182.81—
2025147531.254
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
96
.396
xBA
90
.282
xSLG
.338
.498
.244
.396
18.8%
9.4%
9.4%
26
3
345
2.35
—
202448178.171.272.349.178.34127.0%11.2%15.8%70701.46—
95
.559
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
92
93.3
Median EV
96
97.4
90th % EV
80
107.7
Barrel %
88
15.4
Hard-Hit %
95
56.1
Sweet-Spot %
90
40.4
Bat Speed
Avg
67
71.6
Median
65
73.0
90th %
58
77.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
88
21.3
Whiff %
70
19.6
K %
64
18.8
BB %
61
9.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 71th pctl
Chase cost
-28.1r
293 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.8r
336 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.5%
2,100 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.33
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%6+27%11+0%7+0%10+0%943+25%16+11%28+11%55+5%42+21%28+33%18+29%7+32%22+0%40-46%85-34%61-31%58+48%27+29%14+15%20-9%56-22%60-18%50-28%32+41%173+11%9+25%16+18%17+14%22+26%23+67%63+17%6+0%7+14%7321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000