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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 1B peers

Rank #5 of 40

Each bar is one 1B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Ben Rice
Ben Rice · #5
V⁻ 18VORP 51V⁺ 81
Ben Rice

Ben Rice

C / 1B·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
292
H
72
HR
20
AVG
.289
xwOBA
.398
PPG
3.42
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj90388.256.345.500.245.37121.3%11.0%10.3%2132512.79—
202667292.289
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
93
.398
xBA
82
.283
xSLG
.390
.606
.317
.398
22.9%
13.4%
9.5%
20
2
229
3.42
—
2025147531.254.338.498.244.39618.8%9.4%9.4%2633452.35—
202448178.171.272.349.178.34127.0%11.2%15.8%70701.46—
88
.524
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
85
92.1
Median EV
95
99.2
90th % EV
55
105.6
Barrel %
90
15.4
Hard-Hit %
79
48.4
Sweet-Spot %
94
44.0
Bat Speed
Avg
47
70.3
Median
53
72.1
90th %
40
76.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
82
23.3
Whiff %
38
24.1
K %
35
22.9
BB %
83
13.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
94
≈ 28th pctl
Chase cost
-6.4r
57 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.7r
56 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.3%
364 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.78
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
13+0%6121+14%7+17%12+25%16+33%94+33%91+25%8-12%17-38%26-22%18-15%13+27%11+14%7+33%15+0%17-55%29-14%14-25%16+18%112+0%6+31%13+10%10+0%852121511CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 364