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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #16 of 236

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Andy Pages
Andy Pages · #16
V⁻ 1VORP 50V⁺ 80
Andy Pages

Andy Pages

OF·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
310
H
76
HR
15
AVG
.268
xwOBA
.340
PPG
2.80
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj92395.263.320.466.203.34621.2%6.6%14.6%1782302.50—
202674310.268
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
55
.340
xBA
73
.273
xSLG
.318
.486
.218
.340
19.7%
6.1%
13.6%
15
7
207
2.80
—
2025173617.272.313.461.189.31521.2%4.2%17.0%27143462.00—
2024120444.248.308.406.158.32524.3%6.5%17.8%1312151.79—
73
.465
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
51
89.8
Median EV
92
98.0
90th % EV
62
106.3
Barrel %
53
9.3
Hard-Hit %
77
47.6
Sweet-Spot %
52
36.6
Bat Speed
Avg
55
70.7
Median
67
73.3
90th %
62
77.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
20
34.2
Whiff %
48
21.4
K %
58
19.7
BB %
14
6.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
86
≈ 9th pctl
Chase cost
-8.9r
69 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.9r
52 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.2%
381 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.10
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
211121251+43%74+44%9+50%82+17%6+5%20-28%25-11%27+0%14+33%18+14%7+67%6-8%13-44%25-45%31-27%115+0%75+56%9+19%26+0%163352+29%7511CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 381