AJ Blubaugh
P · HOU
MLBAM 805123
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 60 | 16.7% | 13.3% | 0.347 | 12 | 1.33 |
| 2025 | 125 | 28.0% | 9.6% | 0.281 | 107 | 8.92 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
71
94.8
FB Spin
47
2273
Extension
45
6.48
Results
xwOBA
30
0.347
Barrel %
15
11.9
Hard-Hit %
46
40.5
K %
19
16.7
BB %
11
13.3
Chase %
35
28.1
Whiff %
75
26.4
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
91
≈ 17th pctl
Stuff+
117
if they swing
Command+
80
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
100
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
9.5%
26 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.044
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.002 worse than avg · 99 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.049
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.020 worse than avg · 16 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 274 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | CH | ST | FC | CU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 41% | 27% | 24% | 5% | 2% |
| MPH | 95.7 | 86.0 | 83.5 | 88.0 | 81.0 |
| RHP Avg | 95.0 | 86.9 | 83.3 | 89.8 | 80.2 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFCHSTFCCU
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.