Aaron Nola
SP · PHI
MLBAM 605400
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 93 | 25.8% | 6.5% | 0.323 | 38 | 7.60 |
| 2025 | 406 | 23.9% | 6.9% | 0.315 | 127 | 6.68 |
| 2024 | 823 | 23.9% | 6.1% | 0.305 | 459 | 13.11 |
| 2023 | 795 | 25.4% | 5.7% | 0.297 | 435 | 11.76 |
| 2022 | 811 | 29.0% | 3.6% | 0.263 | 570 | 14.25 |
| 2021 | 749 | 29.8% | 5.2% | 0.285 | 420 | 12.35 |
| 2020 | 289 | 33.2% | 8.0% | 0.286 | 213 | 16.38 |
| 2019 | 853 | 26.8% | 9.4% | 0.312 | 431 | 12.68 |
| 2018 | 833 | 26.9% | 7.0% | 0.260 | 618 | 17.66 |
| 2017 | 695 | 26.5% | 7.1% | 0.281 | 347 | 11.97 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
11
90.7
FB Spin
51
2295
Extension
93
6.98
Results
xwOBA
53
0.323
Barrel %
54
7.9
Hard-Hit %
51
39.7
K %
73
25.8
BB %
76
6.5
Chase %
63
31.4
Whiff %
59
24.1
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
99
≈ 44th pctl
Stuff+
94
if they swing
Command+
104
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
89
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
12.8%
56 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.046
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.004 worse than avg · 119 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.029
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.000 better than avg · 37 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 436 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | KC | SI | CH | FC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 31% | 28% | 20% | 12% | 9% |
| MPH | 91.7 | 78.4 | 90.9 | 85.2 | 86.2 |
| RHP Avg | 95.0 | 83.0 | 94.3 | 86.9 | 89.8 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFKCSICHFC
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.