
Aaron Civale
P · ATH
MLBAM 650644
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 89 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 0.328 | 39 | 9.75 |
| 2025 | 436 | 20.2% | 7.6% | 0.316 | 148 | 6.17 |
| 2024 | 689 | 21.6% | 7.5% | 0.316 | 294 | 8.91 |
| 2023 | 504 | 23.0% | 6.5% | 0.300 | 276 | 11.50 |
| 2022 | 407 | 24.1% | 5.4% | 0.310 | 182 | 7.58 |
| 2021 | 500 | 19.8% | 6.2% | 0.333 | 261 | 11.35 |
| 2020 | 314 | 22.0% | 5.1% | 0.322 | 128 | 9.85 |
| 2019 | 227 | 20.3% | 7.0% | 0.279 | 124 | 12.40 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
4
89.3
FB Spin
89
2472
Extension
4
5.67
Results
xwOBA
46
0.328
Barrel %
70
6.2
Hard-Hit %
8
52.3
K %
28
18.0
BB %
73
6.7
Chase %
16
25.7
Whiff %
32
20.6
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
117
≈ 96th pctl
Stuff+
102
if they swing
Command+
111
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
108
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.5%
37 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.039
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.003 better than avg · 125 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.009
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.038 better than avg · 26 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 433 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FC | SI | CU | FF | FS | SL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 34% | 23% | 21% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| MPH | 87.5 | 91.2 | 77.3 | 91.3 | 84.3 | 82.0 |
| RHP Avg | 89.8 | 94.3 | 80.2 | 95.0 | 86.7 | 86.7 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FCSICUFFFSSL
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.