
Aaron Ashby
RP · MIL
MLBAM 676879
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 59 | 37.3% | 10.2% | 0.269 | 65 | 5.00 |
| 2025 | 270 | 28.1% | 8.9% | 0.278 | 215 | 4.30 |
| 2024 | 119 | 27.7% | 8.4% | 0.275 | 58 | 3.62 |
| 2022 | 475 | 26.5% | 9.9% | 0.304 | 161 | 5.55 |
| 2021 | 133 | 29.3% | 9.0% | 0.269 | 77 | 5.13 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
90
96.8
FB Spin
15
2140
Extension
2
5.45
Results
xwOBA
83
0.269
Barrel %
41
9.7
Hard-Hit %
30
45.2
K %
98
37.3
BB %
32
10.2
Chase %
83
33.1
Whiff %
97
34.7
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
100
≈ 49th pctl
Stuff+
125
if they swing
Command+
77
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
123
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
5.3%
15 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.055
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.013 worse than avg · 79 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.011
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.019 better than avg · 24 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 283 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| SI | CU | CH | SL | FF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 50% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 5% |
| MPH | 96.8 | 82.6 | 90.8 | 84.5 | 96.5 |
| LHP Avg | 93.0 | 79.0 | 84.6 | 84.7 | 93.2 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SICUCHSLFF
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. LHP.